SWOT Population Control
If the world’s population declines over the next few generations, why should anyone be concerned? What are the STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, OPPORTUNITIES & THREATS of this prospect?
I like Dr. Malone’s Substack.
The topics he covers, and the manner in which he does so, are always provocative and informative. The topic addressed above has triggered me to consider the depopulation question and its likely future scararios.
It’s time to SWOT it, but from whose perspective?
As a long-time Libertarian who believes in the Individual Person & Property Rights (IPPR) and the Non-Aggression Principle (NAP) axioms, I will offer only my life lens on this topic. Someone else may wish to be the proxy voice of “the greater good” perspective if they are so inclined.
My premise for this SWOT exercise is that all of the ways that Dr. Malone identifies, which are currently in play to cull humanity over future decades, will be highly effective and that their…
Population Reduction Strategy (PRS) succeeds.
THE SENARIO: Let’s assume that a series of successful PRS campaigns will reduce the global population of ONE BILLION by year 2100 as some pundits have proposed. Many have forecast a peak of 10 billion by 2050, then a precipitous drop thereafter.
A SWOT analysis of this future depopulation scenario, performed from the 2024 perspective, may look something like the following. Of course, your analysis will depend on your life lens. Here’s mine.
Strengths
The current cast of fake science advisors and designated experts such as Al Gore, Greta Thunberg and David Suzuki will high-five each other in the belief that their efforts “to save the planet” from the Climate Change Crisis Theory (CCCT) will have finally paid off. Meanwhile, an ever-expanding community of “Climate Change Deniers” like me will put of a fake front that we are “happy for them” while continuing to pursue clandestine ways to mitigate and/or reverse the many harms caused by CCCT policies.
Polar bears with celebrate, along with every other “endangered species”, that they will be safe from their #1 threat - mankind.
NIMBY will become a thing of the past. NIMBY only occurred when population growth had invariably led to situations in which property owners rebelled whenever a new high rise building or wind turbine was slated to be erected next door.
Weaknesses
With the loss of all those tax slaves, will declines in “government sustainability” be heralded as the new global crisis? Will this threat be as effective as past ones to scare every tax slave into paying even higher taxes and submit to even taller “regulatory prison walls”?
Currently, the collective public debt held by Canada’s federal and provincial governments is $2,300,000,000,000 and rising. While already way beyond sustainable, who will be the winners and losers during the inevitable series of financial crises when the population drops?
“Who will fill the potholes?” will be a common concern where labour shortages become extreme.
Opportunities
Government “positions” at the current level will become unsustainable. Every able-bodied person will be required for the most productive forms of employment which sustain the essentials of life within their communities. This albatross of excessive government size, cost and scope of authority could ultimately be removed as a burden from the shoulders of every citizen
Wars will no longer be feasible. Small tax bases will render them unaffordable.
Bitcoin will become the common currency globally because it involved no central planning. National central banks will fold due to a scarcity of central planners, exacerbated by the well-known history of central planning failures.
Threats
Politicians are known to invent or gin up a ‘crisis’ (“Never let a good crisis go to waste”). They will surely claim yet another global and existential threat to humanity when their populations of tax slaves are cut severely and their cherished institutions for “the greater good” are no longer sustainable. There will always be some people who will believe the political rhetoric, and there will continue to be a contentious divide between the “believers” and “non-believers” (aka “heretics”).
Over 75% of public sector employees are currently required to be members of a public sector labout union. As populations decline and labour pools steadily shrink, will CIVIL WARS be waged between the organized labour sector and all other workers and their employers?
Tongue in cheek (tic)
Of course, some of the above SWOT analysis was a tic effort.
Yours my be more serious.